I stay with this Explore page.
coach_text Explore goals Goal, controls, KPIs and takeaway
ML4 / Explore
Make outcomes explicit before moving on
SIRD changes the reading task because infection is no longer the only important line. Outcomes become visible in their own trajectory.
This Explore step is about connecting infectious burden, timing and severe outcomes instead of reading only the visible wave.
If the darker outcome line starts to change what the whole scenario means to you, then the Explore step is doing the right work.
Read the two core controls before dragging them
In the guided variant the core reading task stays intentionally narrow: fatality and mitigation.
This variant keeps the task focused. Fatality and mitigation are enough to see how the same infectious wave can imply a different overall burden once outcomes become explicit.
Fatality
What it changes
How much of the infectious process turns into the darker death trajectory.
Watch for
Whether the scenario feels more severe even when the infectious wave shape looks similar.
Mitigation
What it changes
How strongly the whole wave is damped before outcomes accumulate.
Watch for
Whether both peak pressure and final burden soften together.
The playhead is part of the task. It helps you follow how burden builds up over time instead of only reading the final snapshot.
Use the KPI cards to connect wave and outcome
The KPI cards tell you whether the infection wave and the final burden are moving together or apart.
Peak I
The highest infectious share during the wave.
Peak day
When infectious pressure reaches its maximum.
Rₑff start
The initial transmission pressure after mitigation is applied.
D at the end
The cumulative fatal share at the selected horizon.
Good reading means: read peak and consequence together. A familiar infection wave can still imply a much heavier outcome once the death path is tracked explicitly.
What you should be able to say after this
If this Explore worked, you now read SIRD as a model of outcomes, not just infections.
You should be able to explain why the same infectious wave can be judged differently once mortality becomes an explicit path.
Once the core interactions are done, a quiet option can appear at the bottom right: Continue in Learning Journey.
SIRD Model · Mortality pattern
S I R D
Day 0
Peak I · Highest I Peak I Peak I
0.0 %
Peak · Peak day Peak · Peak day Peak
0
Rₑff (t=0) · At start Rₑff (t=0) · Start Rₑff (0)
0.00
D_end · D at the end D_end · D end D
0.0 %